The Future of the Russian Defense Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022


“The Report The Future of the Russian Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022 provides information on pricing, market analysis, shares, forecast, and company profiles for key industry participants. –”


The Future of the Russian Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

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This report offers detailed analysis of the Russian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following –

– The Russian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Russian defense industry during 2018-2022, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

– Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

– Porters Five Force analysis of the Russian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

– Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

– Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

– Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Russian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

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– Russias defense expenditure in 2017 values US$48.7 billion, recording a CAGR of -7.40% during the historic period, and it is expected to cumulatively value US$270.8 billion over the forecast period. Russia has the worlds longest land border, which it shares with 16 other countries, along with maritime borders with Japan, via the sea of Okhotsk, and the US state of Alaska, across the Bering Strait. The country places the utmost importance on the protection of its borders and critical infrastructure, which covers a large geographical area that is rich in natural resources.

– During the historic period, the Russian Government allocated an average of 47.1% of its total defense budget to capital expenditure and the remaining 52.9% to revenue expenditure. Capital expenditure is expected to decrease during the forecast period to an average of 40.2%, due to the Russian Ministry of Finance setting a target of cutting defense spending by 12% by 2018.

– The MoD is expected to invest in space based ISR, transport aircraft, and multi-role aircraft.

Reasons to buy

– This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Russian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

– The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

– Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

– A deep qualitative analysis of the Russian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction 8

1.1 What is this Report About? 8

1.2 Definitions 8

1.3 Summary Methodology 10

1.4 About Strategic Defence Intelligence 11

2 Executive Summary 12

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 14

3.1 Current Market Scenario 15

3.1.1 Primary Threat Perception 15

3.1.2 Military Doctrine & Strategy 16

3.1.3 Military Fleet Size 30

3.1.4 Procurement Programs 36

3.1.5 Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects 39

3.1.6 Political and Strategic Alliances 40

3.2 Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 42

3.2.1 Russias defense budget to grow at a CAGR of 8.62% to value US$65.2 billion by 2022 42

3.2.2 Military modernization and defense exports to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period 45

3.2.3 Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to average 3.14% over the forecast period 47

3.3 Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 49

3.3.1 The majority of Russias defense budget is allocated to revenue expenditure 49

3.3.2 Capital expenditure is expected to record a CAGR of 20.47% during the forecast period 51

3.3.3 Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period 54

3.4 Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 55

3.4.1 Russian homeland security expenditure forecast to reach US$41.1 billion by 2022 55

3.4.2 Border security and the fight against cyber-attacks are mains factors for growth in the homeland security market 57

3.4.3 The Terrorism Heat Map considers Russia a highly affected region 59

3.4.4 Russia faces high risk from acts of terrorism 60

3.4.5 Russia faces a significant threat from terrorists 62

3.5 Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 63

3.5.1 Russias defense budget is expected to grow significantly during the forecast period 63

3.5.2 Russia is worlds third largest defense spender 65

3.5.3 Russia allocated 3.1% of its GDP to defense in 2017 66

3.6 Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators 67

3.6.1 Space-based ISR 67

3.6.2 Transport Aircraft 69

3.6.3 Multi-role Aircraft 70

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 72

4.1 Import Market Dynamics 72

4.1.1 The countrys defense imports are low owing to a developed indigenous sector 72

4.1.2 Ukraine was the key defense supplier to Russia 74

4.1.3 Aircraft and engines were the key defense imports during 2012-2016 75

4.2 Export Market Dynamics 76

4.2.1 Russias exports witnessed a decline during 2012-2016 76

4.2.2 India, China, and Vietnam are Russias main defense equipment purchasers 77

4.2.3 Aircraft and ships account for the majority of Russias defense exports 78

5 Industry Dynamics 79

5.1 Five Forces Analysis 79

5.1.1 Bargaining power of supplier: medium to high 80

5.1.2 Bargaining power of buyer: high 80

5.1.3 Barrier to entry: high 80

5.1.4 Intensity of rivalry: high 80

5.1.5 Threat of substitution: high 80

6 Market Entry Strategy 81

6.1 Market Regulation 81

6.1.1 Entry into defense sector is highly regulated 81

6.2 Market Entry Route 82

6.2.1 Budgeting Process 83

6.2.2 Procurement Policy and Process 85

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